The Liquidation of Europe

A few thoughts on doom

Sometimes an idea hits my mind, Dear Reader. It’s like temptation but towards some mundane statistical data. The thought was “hmm, I wonder what the ratio of police to soldiers is for European countries”? The thought hit me due to the EU beating their war drums for the past few days since Zelenskyy’s struggle session at the oval office. I recall reading somewhere that the United Kingdom only had about Twenty operational tanks, and the thought that they would lead a European crusade against the Asiatic horde was comical to me. How could a continent so focused on punishing their own citizens to protect the occupying Islamic horde magically change gears to fight an Asiatic horde?

The intrusive thought proved rather insightful - perhaps inciteful too. I decided to use Grok’s newest model to ask some instrusive questions. It turns out most European nations have gradually balooned their police forces to deal with their declining domestic tranquility. Such that many have either equal numbers of Police and Soldiers, or more Police and Soldiers.

I don’t recall the Commetariot noticing this trend, and I also don’t think many and deeply considered the consequences of this trend. We may imagine any given country has a certain percentage of their population that feels some kind of an urge to “serve”. After recognizing this calling, such a citizen faces a choice. Will they serve in the military, or the police? The decision to pick either profession is less important than the fact we can take the combined number of both police and soldier to imply a certain kind of willingness to serve one’s nation. To those ends, we may even imagin two ratios here: The Serving population compared to the adult population to get a sense of a desire to protect what they have, and the ratio between police to soldier to indicate a desire to fight or to protect. These are important distinctions. What we find is that the current “willingness to serve” in any population is remarkably low. No European country reaches even 1% of the adult population “willing to serve” in its police and military.

As a comparison, Russia’s percentage stands at 1.7%, and just for the heck of it, the United States stands at .788%. This indicates that no European nation has a willigness to serve higher than their main enemy, and only France is higher than the United States - the rest of Europe is firmly behind both their main enemy, and their main so-called ally.

Bare in mind, Dear Reader. Europe has been beating the war drum, now, for several years. Beating it slowly, but beating it nonetheless. Beating it louder now, but beating it nonetheless. The result has not significantly boosted any desire to serve. Here’s, also, a per capita

This got me thinking, however. If Europe has been struggling militarily, perhaps the fact most of those serving are in police work may have some consequences to stability. Initially, it appeared that the resulting crime trends were going down, and this investment in a domestic police focus was wise:

As you can see, Dear Reader, nearly every European nation has seen a significant decrease in crime from 2010 to 2024. However, those darn intrusive thoughts came to me again. A thought of “How could it possible be true that crime has gone significantly down after such radical demographic changes?” I mean, sure, France is the exception here - witnessing a 5% increase in crime. But how can we explain the UK? 16% decrease? Did these numbers make sense?

My intrusive thoughts led me to dig deeper. I asked Grok to provide data for unsolved crimes. And that turned out to be a key factor in this data that made the lowering crime rate a myth:

In most nations seeing a decrease in crime, the rate of unsolved crime has actually exploded. 70& unsolved crime in the UK is rather insane. What worth is a 5% decrease in crime in the past decade if most crimes go unsolved? We all know, in addition, that fewer crimes get reported if people understand there’s no point. However, there’s really no way to prove that. It’s just a sense - a commonsense - that when people don’t feel the police will do anything, they stop bothering to report crime, and this in turn will result in fewer crimes being reported, so the crime rate appears to go down, when it has actually grown.

Thus, no, the balooning size of the police forces of Europe are not producing less crime. They are producing more unsolved crimes. Grok says the average is about 5% increase in unsolved crime, with the UK standing out at a 15% increase in unsolved crime. However, even these figures I somewhat doubt. Going from 55% unsolved crime to 70% unsolved crime in the UK is fairly awful all the same - going just off these numbers.

So, Dear Reader, we come to a remarkable problem: The Europeans are unwilling to serve, untrusting of their police and government, and appears to be gearing up for war.

I attempted to use Claude AI to simulate these problems, because it is one of the few AIs that can run simulations. It doesn’t look great. In most of the various simulations I had Claude set up, countries like the UK end up crippled. In one hilarious simulation, the UK imported about Ten Million migraints to keep its military afloat, faced mass riots, and curiously invaded Ireland to prevent a collapse of their government from a civil war. It also had a 97% unsolved crime rate - effectively total anarchy:

In yet another simulation, the UK only imported Five Million migraints to keep its military afloat, managed to hover around a 60% unsolved crime rate, but it had to abandon the war and baloon its police force by Twenty Thousand officers, it also more or less abandoned the war in Russia to accomplish this, after a horrendous loss of over 140,000 soldiers. Not bad for a loss of of GDP of about 3%. Of course, Ireland had a civil war, Denmark split into a 4-way civil war, and Poland and Austria had a civil war too. So I suppose it wasn’t the best outcome for Europe, even though the UK managed to not collapse by becoming an authoratarian police state. Oh, and Spain, Italy, France, and Greece managed to stay in one piece. Ukraine was entirely lost, however:

These are just very simplified simulations, but most of these point to the same general outcome: Either the Uk collapsed from a foolish war it could not win, or isolated itself and became a North Korean police state while the Continent burned. Neither of these are great endings for Europe.

All of this points to a simple conclusion. This war the Europeans want is suicide. It is the liquidation of Europe, either to a glass sea or isolated tyranical states.

Food for thought.